Do investors obtain better results selecting mutual funds through quantitative ratings?

  1. Luis Otero-González 1
  2. Pablo Durán Santomil 1
  3. Renato Heitor Correia- Domingues 2
  1. 1 Universidade de Santiago de Compostela
    info

    Universidade de Santiago de Compostela

    Santiago de Compostela, España

    ROR https://ror.org/030eybx10

  2. 2 Universidade Lusíada do Porto
    info

    Universidade Lusíada do Porto

    Oporto, Portugal

    ROR https://ror.org/04ehtgm24

Revista:
Revista española de financiación y contabilidad

ISSN: 0210-2412

Año de publicación: 2020

Volumen: 49

Número: 3

Páginas: 265-291

Tipo: Artículo

DOI: 10.1080/02102412.2019.1622066 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR

Otras publicaciones en: Revista española de financiación y contabilidad

Objetivos de desarrollo sostenible

Resumen

The objective of this paper is to analyse if ratings are reliable tools in selecting mutual funds. Our sample contains the European equity funds rated by Morningstar from 2003 to 2014. Our conclusions support the ability of ratings to predict future performance in the short and medium term. In this sense, we have found that on average, funds with lower ratings have a worse out of sample performance in terms of risk-adjusted measures and annual return. The strongest predictability is observed for one year ahead but is also good for the three-years period. The inclusion of costs and other variables like turnover, age and size, reflect the importance of considering other factors to explain future performance. Finally, the best ratings have a better behaviour in terms of VaR (value at risk) showing that investment in good rated funds can better help to preserve investors’ wealth under unfavourable market conditions.

Referencias bibliográficas

  • Antypas, A. , Caporale, G. , Kourogenis, N. , Pittis, N. , (2009). Selectivity, market timing and the morningstar star-rating system. CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2580 . Retrieved from http://ssrn.com/abstract=1360637
  • Armstrong, W. , Genc, E. , Verbeek, M. (2018). Going for gold: An analysis of morningstar analyst. Management Science . doi:10.1287/mnsc.2017.2884
  • Baltagi, B. (2010). Econometric analysis of panel data (fourth ed ed.). London: John Wiley & Sons.
  • Blake, C. , Morey, M. (2000). Morningstar ratings and mutual fund performance. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 35(3), 451–483.
  • Brenning, C. , Fritzén, V. , (2009). The effect of morningstar rating (working paper stockholm school of economics). Retrieved from http://arc.hhs.se/download.aspx?mediumid=703
  • Carhart, M. (1997). On persistence in mutual fund performance. Journal of Finance , 52(1), 57–82.
  • Casavecchia, L. , Hulley, H. , (2013). The impact of idiosyncratic risk on mutual fund fees. Working Paper at SSRN .
  • Chen, C. R. , Huang, Y. (2011). Mutual fund governance and performance: A quantile regression analysis of morningstar’s stewardship grade. Corporate Governance: An International Review , 19(4), 311–333.
  • Chotivetthamrong, C. (2015). The performance of thai mutual funds: A 5-star morningstar mutual fund rating. Journal of Economics, Business and Management , 3(1), 104–110.
  • Del Guercio, D. , Tkac, P. A. (2008). Star power: The effect of morningstar ratings on mutual fund flow. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis , 43(4), 907–936.
  • Duret, A.S. , Hereil, P. , Mitaine, P. , Moussavi, N. , Roncalli, T. , (2008). Fund rating systems and performance predictability (Working Paper). University of Evry. Retrieved from: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1121383
  • Duygun, M. , Matallín-Sáez, J. C. , Soler, A. , Tortosa-Ausina, E. , (2018). Active management and mutual fund performance (Working Paper at RePec).
  • Efron, B. (1979). Bootstrap methods: Another look at the jackknife. Annals of Statistics , 7(1), 1–26.
  • Faff, R. , Parwada, J. , Poh, H. (2007). The information content of Australian managed fund ratings. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting , 34(9–10), 1528–1547.
  • Ferruz, L. , Sarto, J. L. (2004). An analysis of Spanish investment fund performance: Some considerations concerning sharpe’s ratio. Omega , 32, 273–284.
  • Ferson, W. , Schadt, R. W. (1996). Measuring fund strategy and performance in changing economic conditions. The Journal of Finance , 51(2), 425–461.
  • Füss, R. , Hille, J. , Rindler, P. , Schmidt, J. , Schmidt, M. (2010). From rising stars and falling angels: On the relationship between the performance and ratings of German mutual funds. Journal of Wealth Management , 13(1), 75–90.
  • Garnier, O. , Pujol, T. , (2007). Can today’s stars be used to read the stars of the future? Case study of equity funds distributed in France between 2000 and 2005 (Working Papers Autorité des marchés financiers). Retrieved from http://www.amf-france.org/technique/multimedia?docId=workspace://SpacesStore/b1fae1f7-a61f-4bb1-b7ee-5f920d2a99ca_en_1.0_rendition
  • Glode, V. (2011). Why mutual funds “underperform”? Journal of Financial Economics , 99(3), 546–559.
  • Gruber, M. (1996). The growth in actively managed mutual funds. The Journal of Finance , 51(3), 783–810.
  • Howe, T. , Pope, R. (1996). Equity mutual fund historical performance ratings. Journal of Financial and Strategic Decisions , 9(1), 33–43.
  • Koenker, R. , Basset, G. (1978). Regression quantiles. Econometrica , 46(1), 33–50.
  • Meinhardt, C. , (2014). Ratings and performance of German mutual funds – A comparison of feri trust, finanztest and fondsnote. Retrieved from http://ssrn.com/abstract=1943577
  • Morey, M. (2002). Mutual fund age and morningstar ratings. Financial Analysts Journal , 58(2), 56–63.
  • Morey, M. (2005). The kiss of death: A 5-star morningstar mutual fund rating? Journal of Investment Management , 3(2), 41–52.
  • Morey, M. , Gottesman, A. (2006). Morningstar mutual fund ratings redux. Journal of Investment Consulting , 8(1), 25–37.
  • Müller, S. , Weber, M. (2014). Evaluating the rating of stiftung warentest: How good are the ratings and can they be improved? European Financial Management , 20(2), 207–235.
  • Nanigian, D. (2012). Why do mutual fund expenses matter? Financial Services Review , 21, 3.
  • Philips, C. , Kinniry, F. (2010). Mutual fund ratings and future performance . (pp. 1–12). Vanguard. Retrieved from http://www.vanguard.com/pdf/icrwmf.pdf
  • Reboredo, J. C. , Quintela, M. , Otero, L. (2017). Do inverstors pay a premium for going green? Evidence from alternative energy mutual funds. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews , 73, 512–520.